An Autopsy: Did Trump Win or Did Harris Lose?

I must live in a bubble, a Harris bubble. I’m surrounded by smart, politically engaged women; this was the election of a lifetime. I was certain, a tsunami of women voters would determine the outcome. We would see an enormous turnout. Pollsters were predicting a close, a very close election, days, maybe weeks before a winnerContinue reading “An Autopsy: Did Trump Win or Did Harris Lose?”

Kamala Wins as an Unexpected Tsunami of Women Voters Swamp Trump (my taro cards are never wrong)

Nate Silver writes The Tilt in the NYT, parsing polling, Nate is not a pollster, he’s a journalist (and a professional poker player) writing about polls. Polls vary from pollster to pollster, a week away from election day The Tilt, sort of, without confidence, predicts a Trump victory, In an election where the seven battleground states are all pollingContinue reading “Kamala Wins as an Unexpected Tsunami of Women Voters Swamp Trump (my taro cards are never wrong)”

Will “Unexpected Voters” Determine the Outcome of the Presidential Election?

The self described newspaper of record, the N.Y. Times displays graphs, red lines and blue lines and comments on polls almost every day.  What is a poll? A poll is a prediction of a particular event at a specific time. Newspapers, media in general, rarely discusses the methodologies that vary from pollster to pollster norContinue reading “Will “Unexpected Voters” Determine the Outcome of the Presidential Election?”